Chance of winning presidency 2016
FiveThirtyEight said the likelihood Ms Clinton would win was 65 per cent, while the.
But state-wide polls have less good news for Ms Clinton.
Her odds stood at 95 on October 20, but on October 26 dipped to 90, and then continued to decline daily until October.
In, north Carolina, the federal court ruled in favour of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People and ordered thousands of recently removed names from the election rolls to be restored.Copyright m All Rights Reserved.If you have an Ad Blocker in place, please disable.Our forecast in places that tend to vote.On Halloween they reached 78, right after FBI Director James Comey sent a letter to Congress saying the FBI had discovered emails related to the closed investigation of her private email server and wanted to review them.A total of 270 electoral votes are needed to win.FiveThirtyEight or the, princeton Election Consortium, use statistical models, as The Times does; others, like the.PredictWise uses information from betting how claim lottery win markets.The email controversy has plagued Clinton's bid for the White House since she announced her run in April 2015.
Qualitative ratings reflect the rating for the state in the middle of each organizations forecast, weighted by electoral votes.
Clintons chance of losing is about the same as the probability that.F.L.Data shows the candidates are tied in New Hampshire, while her lead in Pennsylvania is down to just three percentage points.As of Friday, more than 33 million voters have already cast their ballot in the election.A victory.New York Times upshot said there was a 85 per cent chance.In the table below, we have divided the country into groups based on each areas voting history relative to the nation since 2004.A survey from the, princeton Election Consortium has found that Hillary Clinton has a 99 per cent chance of winning the election over Donald Trump.